Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Laferriere shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Laferriere 43.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 57.4%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 83.8%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 59.9%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Fantilli
Laferriere
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fantilli
Laferriere
Last 6: Fantilli 2-4 Laferriere
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Laferriere
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
3
Fantilli
Laferriere
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
1
Fantilli
Laferriere
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Laferriere
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
41.8% (325)
+7.6%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
52.9% (17)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
37.5% (72)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laferriere shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Laferriere
Home
50.7% (503)
40.2% (204)
Away
48.5% (501)
42.9% (210)
By Period
Fantilli
Laferriere
P1
47.0%
32.5%
P2
52.5%
39.7%
P3
49.7%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |