Adam Fantilli vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Pettersson 47.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 59.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 62.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 56.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Fantilli
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Fantilli
Pettersson
Last 6: Fantilli 3-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
3
Fantilli
Pettersson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
46.3% (817)
+3.1%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
54.9% (255)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
34.5% (110)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pettersson
Home
50.7% (503)
49.1% (607)
Away
48.5% (501)
44.9% (575)
By Period
Fantilli
Pettersson
P1
47.0%
46.1%
P2
52.5%
48.1%
P3
49.7%
46.8%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |