Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.7%). Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Haula 49.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 63.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Fantilli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Fantilli
Haula
Last 10: Fantilli 1-9 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Fantilli
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
3
Fantilli
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
5
Fantilli
Haula
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
49.9% (747)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
53.8% (78)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
42.4% (66)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Haula
Home
50.7% (503)
48.5% (468)
Away
48.5% (501)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Fantilli
Haula
P1
47.0%
52.5%
P2
52.5%
51.1%
P3
49.7%
45.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Erik Haula |