Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Eichel 48.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 60.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 60.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Fantilli
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Eichel
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
48.1% (894)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
55.2% (67)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
41.7% (96)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eichel
Home
50.7% (503)
48.0% (548)
Away
48.5% (501)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Fantilli
Eichel
P1
47.0%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |