Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Eichel 48.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 70.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 62.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Fantilli
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Eichel
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
48.2% (909)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
55.2% (67)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
41.2% (97)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eichel
Home
50.7% (503)
48.0% (564)
Away
48.5% (501)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Fantilli
Eichel
P1
47.0%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
48.6%
P3
49.7%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |