Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.3%). Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Drouin 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.3%
Defensive zone
Drouin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Fantilli
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Drouin
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
47.5% (181)
+1.9%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
56.8% (44)
-5.4%
On power play, Drouin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drouin
Home
50.7% (503)
49.5% (97)
Away
48.5% (501)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Fantilli
Drouin
P1
47.0%
52.1%
P2
52.5%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
45.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |