Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 79.2%
Defensive zone
Hintz 94.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 83.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 89.7%
10.3%
89.7%
Fantilli
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Fantilli
Hintz
Last 7: Fantilli 6-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
58.7% (530)
-9.3%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
59.4% (170)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
66.7% (27)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hintz
Home
50.7% (503)
60.2% (354)
Away
48.5% (501)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Fantilli
Hintz
P1
47.0%
58.4%
P2
52.5%
59.8%
P3
49.7%
58.2%
OT
33.3%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |