Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.9%). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Fantilli
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
51.5% (928)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
35.0% (226)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gagner
Home
47.3% (1,209)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Fantilli
Gagner
P1
43.8%
44.6%
P2
46.3%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
47.3%
OT
25.8%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%