Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.7% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 90.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 70.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Gaudette
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudette
Lindholm
Last 7: Gaudette 5-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Gaudette
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (202)
54.8% (766)
-6.8%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
62.3% (175)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.2% (92)
-2.2%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lindholm
Home
48.4% (91)
56.6% (578)
Away
50.3% (149)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Gaudette
Lindholm
P1
48.8%
55.2%
P2
51.9%
56.3%
P3
48.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |