Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Blackwell 44.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Henrique
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Blackwell
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Blackwell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Blackwell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
1
Henrique
Blackwell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
48.9% (180)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
31.4% (86)
+19.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Henrique
Blackwell
Home
52.4% (227)
44.3% (149)
Away
55.2% (324)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Henrique
Blackwell
P1
57.0%
46.1%
P2
52.5%
34.5%
P3
52.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |