Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Carter 49.8% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Henrique
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
50.1% (978)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
60.0% (15)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
46.4% (138)
-0.2%
On power play, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
52.5% (6,430)
49.0% (506)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
50.6%
50.5%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%