Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Lowry 51.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 91.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 63.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 83.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Gaudette
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Gaudette
Lowry
Last 10: Gaudette 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
11
5
Gaudette
Lowry
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
15
Gaudette
Lowry
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
7
Gaudette
Lowry
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
52.9% (9,162)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
57.2% (456)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.8% (2,150)
+1.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lowry
Home
46.0% (913)
53.5% (5,920)
Away
42.6% (770)
49.6% (5,848)
By Period
Gaudette
Lowry
P1
44.9%
51.6%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
41.4%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |