Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Wennberg 46.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 78.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 58.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 66.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
4
Lowry
Wennberg
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
2
Lowry
Wennberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
45.7% (818)
+10.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
53.6% (248)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
36.4% (176)
+2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (878).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
54.3% (429)
47.3% (607)
Away
53.5% (385)
44.7% (635)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
53.1%
44.8%
P2
55.2%
46.3%
P3
54.4%
47.2%
OT
40.0%
36.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Wennberg
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |