Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 47.1%). Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Soderberg 47.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 53.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Lowry
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Soderberg
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
4
Lowry
Soderberg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
47.0% (559)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.6% (77)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
32.5% (83)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Soderberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Lowry
Soderberg
Home
49.9% (393)
46.1% (369)
Away
43.1% (452)
48.3% (350)
By Period
Lowry
Soderberg
P1
45.1%
49.2%
P2
44.8%
47.7%
P3
49.1%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |