Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
50.1% (930)
+5.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
51.5% (66)
+34.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
47.8% (293)
-8.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (926).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
54.3% (429)
48.1% (636)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
53.1%
45.2%
P2
55.2%
54.2%
P3
54.4%
48.8%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Backlund
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |