Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 70.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Lowry
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Lowry
Dowd
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
0
Lowry
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
4
Lowry
Dowd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
7
Lowry
Dowd
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
52.3% (6,031)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
56.1% (164)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
44.1% (1,638)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,153).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dowd
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.9% (3,912)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Lowry
Dowd
P1
51.6%
51.6%
P2
51.7%
50.4%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
46.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |