Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Quine wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 48.3% vs Ryan 54.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quine 75.3%
Defensive zone
Quine 87.9%
Neutral zone
Quine 76.9%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Quine
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Quine
Ryan
Last 9: Quine 2-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Quine
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Quine
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Quine
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (498)
54.9% (576)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
59.8% (112)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
42.1% (19)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Quine is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Quine shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Quine
Ryan
Home
53.8% (236)
57.7% (355)
Away
43.6% (314)
52.8% (352)
By Period
Quine
Ryan
P1
47.5%
57.9%
P2
48.5%
53.2%
P3
48.3%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
48.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Alan Quine |