Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Staal 51.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Barkov
Staal
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
2
Barkov
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
48.8% (514)
-2.4%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
59.2% (147)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
62.5% (8)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
46.7% (561)
57.8% (277)
Away
45.4% (441)
46.7% (392)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
51.2%
P3
43.2%
53.4%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |