Who wins more faceoffs, Aleksander Barkov or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Aleksander Barkov's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Aleksander Barkov is 1-7 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 1-3, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Aleksander Barkov or Nathan MacKinnon?

Aleksander Barkov is the predicted winner with a 71.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Aleksander Barkov vs Nathan MacKinnon

Aleksander BarkovL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 46.8% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-4.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Barkov 78.8%

Defensive zone Barkov 67.8%

Neutral zone Barkov 72.4%

Result Aleksander Barkov favored at 71.7%

71.7%

28.3%

Barkov MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 7 (8 meetings)

Barkov MacKinnon

Last 8: Barkov 1-7 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Barkov MacKinnon

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Barkov MacKinnon

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Barkov MacKinnon

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Barkov

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

45.6% (801)

49.3% (1,167)

-3.7%

Power Play

52.2% (157)

61.0% (187)

-8.8%

Penalty Kill

44.6% (65)

47.9% (167)

-3.3%

On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Barkov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (359).

Barkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).

Home / Away

Barkov

MacKinnon

Home

45.6% (502)

57.7% (728)

Away

47.4% (521)

44.0% (793)

By Period

Barkov

MacKinnon

45.9%

50.1%

45.1%

52.5%

47.3%

49.3%

70.6%

43.8%

Final 5 min

50.6%

55.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Barkov

44.0%▼

47.5%

46.5%

MacKinnon

54.0%▬

54.5%

50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 16, 2016	3	05:37	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016	2	16:58	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016	2	12:50	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016	2	05:11	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016	2	01:09	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016	3	15:13	Defensive	Aleksander Barkov
Oct 22, 2016	2	08:32	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016	2	06:27	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon

Barkov's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile