Alex Laferriere vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs McMichael 43.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 60.9%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 50.3%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Laferriere
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Laferriere
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
0
Laferriere
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
42.9% (408)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
49.1% (55)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
39.0% (105)
-1.5%
On power play, Laferriere has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Laferriere shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Laferriere
McMichael
Home
40.2% (204)
43.0% (298)
Away
42.9% (210)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Laferriere
McMichael
P1
32.5%
46.6%
P2
39.7%
40.8%
P3
48.9%
41.8%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |