Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Poehling 47.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 91.1%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 72.4%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 82.0%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Laferriere
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Laferriere
Poehling
Last 6: Laferriere 0-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Laferriere
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Laferriere
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
50.5% (666)
-8.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
58.3% (12)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
38.6% (215)
-1.1%
On even strength, Poehling has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Laferriere shoots right. Poehling is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Poehling
Home
40.2% (204)
47.3% (404)
Away
42.9% (210)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Laferriere
Poehling
P1
32.5%
53.5%
P2
39.7%
40.1%
P3
48.9%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |