Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 42.8%). Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs McMichael 43.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 58.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 69.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Newhook
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Newhook
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
42.9% (408)
+0.8%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
49.1% (55)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
39.0% (105)
+11.0%
On power play, McMichael has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Newhook
McMichael
Home
45.4% (108)
43.0% (298)
Away
40.7% (86)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Newhook
McMichael
P1
39.0%
46.6%
P2
41.0%
40.8%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
35.6%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |