Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Tanguay wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Carlsson 41.1% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Tanguay 54.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tanguay
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
40.8% (1,873)
-1.4%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
43.2% (155)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
35.0% (120)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Tanguay has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Tanguay is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Tanguay shoots left. Carlsson is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,506).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Carlsson
Home
38.9% (203)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
40.0% (180)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Tanguay
Carlsson
P1
42.9%
43.2%
P2
35.9%
36.2%
P3
40.3%
43.3%
OT
36.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
40.7%