Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Washe 54.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 82.7%
Defensive zone
Washe 55.9%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 57.5%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Turcotte
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Washe
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Washe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
3
Turcotte
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Turcotte
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
59.2% (250)
-5.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
100.0% (3)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.8% (55)
+58.2%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Washe is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Washe
Home
53.2% (263)
62.0% (129)
Away
55.0% (209)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Turcotte
Washe
P1
57.2%
57.7%
P2
59.6%
60.4%
P3
44.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |