Alexis Lafrenière vs Mats Zuccarello
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.2% vs Zuccarello 48.5% (-20.3%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 52.9%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 52.9%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 50.4%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lafrenière
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (28)
43.8% (32)
-18.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On power play, Zuccarello has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.2% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zuccarello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zuccarello
Home
0.0% (13)
30.0% (20)
Away
43.8% (16)
62.5% (16)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zuccarello
P1
33.3%
42.1%
P2
0.0%
36.4%
P3
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
24.1%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%