Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 74.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 66.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 66.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Copp
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Copp
Rodrigues
Last 7: Copp 2-5 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Copp
Rodrigues
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Copp
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Copp
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
47.8% (651)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
47.2% (72)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
36.8% (68)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Copp
Rodrigues
Home
54.4% (441)
47.9% (445)
Away
53.4% (421)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Copp
Rodrigues
P1
52.0%
48.3%
P2
55.8%
47.0%
P3
54.2%
44.8%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |