Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Mitchell 49.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 76.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 60.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 63.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Copp
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Copp
Mitchell
Last 9: Copp 2-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
4
Copp
Mitchell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Copp
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Copp
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
52.5% (676)
-5.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.6% (18)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
32.3% (155)
+3.5%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Copp is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Copp shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Copp
Mitchell
Home
46.2% (251)
52.2% (450)
Away
46.0% (235)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Copp
Mitchell
P1
53.1%
51.2%
P2
41.8%
50.2%
P3
43.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
39.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
46.1%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |