Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 43.7%). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Winnik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Winnik 44.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 51.2%
Defensive zone
Winnik 50.6%
Neutral zone
Winnik 50.2%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Ebbett
Winnik
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ebbett
Winnik
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ebbett
Winnik
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Winnik
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
45.9% (588)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
62.5% (16)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
37.1% (248)
+6.4%
On power play, Winnik has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winnik shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Winnik
Home
45.9% (314)
48.5% (406)
Away
40.8% (331)
39.2% (446)
By Period
Ebbett
Winnik
P1
48.7%
48.8%
P2
41.9%
40.6%
P3
39.7%
42.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |