Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Staal 51.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 88.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 65.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Shaw
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Shaw
Staal
Last 5: Shaw 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
51.0% (930)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
54.4% (125)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
48.3% (60)
-48.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Staal is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Shaw
Staal
Home
55.2% (163)
53.5% (561)
Away
53.4% (163)
48.9% (554)
By Period
Shaw
Staal
P1
56.7%
50.1%
P2
50.9%
50.3%
P3
55.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |