Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Cirelli 52.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 89.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 70.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Shaw
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Shaw
Cirelli
Last 8: Shaw 6-2 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
0
Shaw
Cirelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Shaw
Cirelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Cirelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
52.8% (748)
-7.0%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
59.4% (32)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
51.5% (171)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Cirelli is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Shaw
Cirelli
Home
50.0% (152)
54.5% (466)
Away
45.3% (232)
51.1% (485)
By Period
Shaw
Cirelli
P1
44.8%
48.6%
P2
46.0%
54.8%
P3
50.4%
55.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |