Anthony Cirelli vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 55.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Cirelli
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
3
Cirelli
Rodrigues
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
47.8% (651)
+2.3%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
47.2% (72)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
36.8% (68)
-0.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rodrigues
Home
53.0% (470)
47.9% (445)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Cirelli
Rodrigues
P1
50.6%
48.3%
P2
49.2%
47.0%
P3
47.2%
44.8%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |