Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Cirelli
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Cirelli
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
49.7% (292)
+0.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
50.0% (6)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
47.2% (36)
-10.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Home
53.0% (470)
48.7% (193)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Cirelli
Bjugstad
P1
50.6%
41.5%
P2
49.2%
57.3%
P3
47.2%
50.0%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |