Anthony Cirelli vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 60.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cirelli
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cirelli
Karlsson
Last 6: Cirelli 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Cirelli
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
58.5% (135)
-8.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
80.0% (5)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
44.4% (18)
-7.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Karlsson
Home
53.0% (470)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.0% (509)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Cirelli
Karlsson
P1
50.6%
54.4%
P2
49.2%
66.7%
P3
47.2%
51.9%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |