Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Bonino 48.1% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 93.5%
Defensive zone
Vermette 89.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 91.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Vermette
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vermette
Bonino
Last 8: Vermette 6-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
48.7% (917)
+13.7%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
53.2% (94)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
42.1% (202)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Vermette shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Vermette
Bonino
Home
63.4% (585)
51.0% (629)
Away
61.1% (610)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Vermette
Bonino
P1
62.5%
49.0%
P2
63.4%
45.4%
P3
60.9%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
61.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |