Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Danault 54.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 51.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 66.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Lundell
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lundell
Danault
Last 7: Lundell 5-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
5
0
Lundell
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Lundell
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Lundell
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
56.2% (745)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
45.1% (51)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
51.6% (124)
-4.3%
On power play, Lundell has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lundell
Danault
Home
51.0% (574)
56.7% (402)
Away
52.6% (546)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Lundell
Danault
P1
52.9%
55.5%
P2
55.8%
54.2%
P3
47.1%
55.2%
OT
46.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |