Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.1%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 74.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Lundell
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundell
Kuraly
Last 5: Lundell 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Lundell
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
52.6% (464)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
100.0% (1)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
46.5% (155)
+0.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kuraly
Home
51.0% (574)
55.9% (322)
Away
52.6% (546)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Lundell
Kuraly
P1
52.9%
55.9%
P2
55.8%
46.7%
P3
47.1%
50.7%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |