Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.2% vs Lorentz 51.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 59.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 53.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Lundell
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lundell
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (646)
56.7% (60)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.1% (130)
0.0% (1)
+53.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (156)
40.0% (10)
+7.4%
On power play, Lundell has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lundell is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Lundell shoots left. Lorentz is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Lundell
Lorentz
Home
51.6% (498)
55.6% (54)
Away
53.5% (434)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Lundell
Lorentz
P1
53.7%
57.9%
P2
55.4%
55.2%
P3
48.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.5%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |