Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miettinen wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miettinen 43.0% vs Kesler 57.0% (-21.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miettinen 86.4%
Defensive zone
Miettinen 83.2%
Neutral zone
Miettinen 85.0%
Result
Antti Miettinen favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Miettinen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Miettinen
Kesler
Last 8: Miettinen 1-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Miettinen
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Miettinen
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miettinen
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miettinen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (82)
57.3% (1,022)
-21.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
61.5% (200)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
54.9% (257)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Miettinen is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Miettinen shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Miettinen
Kesler
Home
36.4% (44)
58.6% (766)
Away
35.7% (56)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Miettinen
Kesler
P1
29.0%
58.9%
P2
43.9%
56.8%
P3
32.1%
57.5%
Final 5 min
59.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miettinen
26.0%▼
36.0%
36.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Antti Miettinen |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |