Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs McMichael 43.9% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 63.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 62.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Kopitar
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
McMichael
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Kopitar
McMichael
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
2
Kopitar
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
42.9% (408)
+13.2%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
49.1% (55)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
39.0% (105)
+12.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McMichael
Home
57.3% (553)
43.0% (298)
Away
56.4% (566)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Kopitar
McMichael
P1
56.5%
46.6%
P2
58.0%
40.8%
P3
56.1%
41.8%
Final 5 min
56.3%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |