Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Rodrigues 46.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 78.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 84.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 82.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Kopitar
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Rodrigues
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
3
Kopitar
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Kopitar
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,380)
46.6% (560)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.6% (212)
42.4% (59)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (227)
50.0% (36)
+1.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Kopitar is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Kopitar shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Rodrigues
Home
55.9% (893)
48.5% (379)
Away
54.3% (926)
43.5% (276)
By Period
Kopitar
Rodrigues
P1
56.2%
48.8%
P2
54.5%
43.8%
P3
54.2%
45.6%
OT
62.1%
77.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
55.1%
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |