Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 82.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
60.8% (362)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
83.3% (6)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
56.2% (146)
-4.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
57.3% (553)
60.3% (242)
Away
56.4% (566)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
56.5%
58.9%
P2
58.0%
57.3%
P3
56.1%
64.0%
OT
57.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.3%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |