Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Stajan 51.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 54.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 72.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 62.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Kopitar
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Stajan
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Kopitar
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Kopitar
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
53.0% (509)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
41.4% (29)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
48.0% (98)
+0.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stajan
Home
52.1% (703)
53.8% (353)
Away
55.5% (715)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Kopitar
Stajan
P1
54.9%
52.0%
P2
56.3%
52.0%
P3
49.5%
51.0%
OT
65.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
53.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |