Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Paul 53.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 68.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Kopitar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kopitar
Paul
Last 6: Kopitar 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
5
Kopitar
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
53.7% (354)
+2.4%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
59.0% (61)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
52.9% (34)
-1.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Paul
Home
57.3% (553)
55.1% (216)
Away
56.4% (566)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kopitar
Paul
P1
56.5%
54.9%
P2
58.0%
54.5%
P3
56.1%
54.3%
OT
57.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |