Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.7%). Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Oshie 51.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Kopitar
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kopitar
Oshie
Last 8: Kopitar 4-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
4
Kopitar
Oshie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
51.4% (35)
+1.4%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
53.5% (170)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
50.9% (57)
-2.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kopitar is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Kopitar shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Oshie
Home
53.7% (918)
59.4% (138)
Away
53.3% (858)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Kopitar
Oshie
P1
52.9%
53.4%
P2
53.6%
48.9%
P3
53.4%
55.1%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
53.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |