Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs McBain 50.9% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 61.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 50.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 60.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Goodrow
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
McBain
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Goodrow
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Goodrow
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
52.5% (569)
-13.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.1% (19)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
36.2% (47)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McBain
Home
36.0% (25)
52.4% (309)
Away
50.0% (12)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Goodrow
McBain
P1
46.2%
54.0%
P2
28.6%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
20.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |