Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Horvat 55.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 80.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 80.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Hayton
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hayton
Horvat
Last 5: Hayton 0-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
55.4% (713)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
63.2% (242)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
48.1% (104)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Hayton
Horvat
Home
56.8% (433)
59.0% (515)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Hayton
Horvat
P1
52.8%
59.6%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
55.4%
56.2%
OT
25.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |