Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Minten 48.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 60.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Hayton
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Minten
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Minten
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Minten
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
49.6% (651)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
48.0% (50)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
35.6% (45)
+1.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Hayton
Minten
Home
56.8% (433)
52.4% (349)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.3% (397)
By Period
Hayton
Minten
P1
52.8%
45.4%
P2
50.3%
47.1%
P3
55.4%
52.3%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |