Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.7%). Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 52.0% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Jones leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 86.8%
Defensive zone
Jones 53.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 57.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Jones
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Jones
Jankowski
Last 10: Jones 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Jones
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
0
Jones
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
5
1
Jones
Jankowski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (118)
53.7% (555)
-1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
54.3% (46)
+2.8%
On power play, Jones has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Jones is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Jones shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Jones
Jankowski
Home
51.4% (70)
53.2% (331)
Away
56.1% (57)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Jones
Jankowski
P1
54.2%
52.7%
P2
46.4%
55.8%
P3
56.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
53.5%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Ben Jones |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Ben Jones |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Ben Jones |