Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Lehtera 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 85.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Smith
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
Lehtera
Last 9: Smith 2-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
5
Smith
Lehtera
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Smith
Lehtera
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
50.6% (884)
+3.5%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
53.5% (155)
-39.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
59.1% (22)
-12.7%
On power play, Lehtera has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Smith
Lehtera
Home
54.4% (274)
55.6% (549)
Away
50.3% (320)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Smith
Lehtera
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
53.4%
48.9%
P3
53.2%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ben Smith |