Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Koivu 52.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 70.1%
Defensive zone
Jones 63.1%
Neutral zone
Jones 67.6%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Jones
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jones
Koivu
Last 7: Jones 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Jones
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Jones
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
52.2% (805)
-9.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
59.9% (152)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
49.0% (239)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Jones
Koivu
Home
48.3% (149)
54.0% (639)
Away
36.6% (153)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Jones
Koivu
P1
42.6%
52.7%
P2
48.3%
50.4%
P3
38.3%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | OT | 01:31 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |