Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 48.9% vs Spezza 54.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.8%
Defensive zone
Comeau 85.0%
Neutral zone
Comeau 61.7%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Comeau
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Comeau
Spezza
Last 6: Comeau 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Comeau
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Comeau
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Comeau
1
0
Comeau
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (341)
53.2% (763)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
60.9% (197)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (158)
57.1% (21)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Comeau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Comeau shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Comeau
Spezza
Home
52.7% (298)
57.5% (518)
Away
44.4% (268)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Comeau
Spezza
P1
46.1%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
54.1%
P3
49.5%
55.5%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |